And The New York Times? And The New York Times.
Charles Paul Freund | March 1, 2005, 7:42pm
The NYT is astonished.
"[T]his has so far been a year of heartening surprises," according to Tuesday's lead editorial about developments in the Mideast, "each one remarkable in itself, and taken together truly astonishing. The Bush administration is entitled to claim a healthy share of the credit for many of these advances. It boldly proclaimed the cause of Middle East democracy at a time when few in the West thought it had any realistic chance."
That's a nice line about what "few in the West thought," isn't it? But the Times may be confusing "the West" with its one-dimensional and utterly predictable editorial staff. There's no shortage of Westerners who took Arab liberalism seriously, if only because they were paying attention to Arab liberals.
In contrast to the NYT's late astonishment, for example, here is the opening of an essay (Post-Pan-Arabism) that appeared nearly two years ago, on April 18, 2003:
The fall of Baghdad this month was accompanied by another event that was less visible but that has potentially far greater consequences: the collapse of Pan-Arabism as an essential and controlling aspect of Arab political thought. Because the triumph of Pan-Arabism half a century ago led to the eclipse of liberal thought in the Arab world, Pan-Arabism's collapse may well make room for liberalism's gradual return in the region's discourse. That could in turn allow the region to break its historic cycle of political failure and economic stagnation. If that occurs, it would be a clear -- if perhaps paradoxical -- case of liberal interests advanced and served by military means; the true victors of the overthrow of Iraqi Ba'thism would be the long-powerless Arab liberals.
jdallen | March 2, 2005, 3:41am | #
Gary - I could not agree with you more in that they are going to think that they are the top of the mountain when they haven't even left the station. I might say that "think" should be "claim", though.
To state the obvious: Whatever happens, if it seems to be a plus, the ins attempt to claim, through whatever convoluted logic, that it is due to their efforts, despite the outs dragging their feet.
If whatever happens seems to be a negative, the ins claim that outs, in some manner, prevented the ins from taking the correct course of action.
It's been going on since George Washington's second term.
The viewpoint you receive, ins or outs, is of course the media you choose to consume. What the politicos and media are just now beginning to realize is that there is another, new type, of media taking root, which is not yet so easily controlled. We felt the same sort of way in the sixties when the underground press was beginning to be. It didn't make it.
The most profitable, Rolling Stone, turned into what it is today, just another left-leaning magazine. I wonder what Raoul Duke, el. Al., thought of that progression.
Still, are the most prominent bloggers immune to the contamination of money? Or are there too many of them? Or is the web inherently different? Stay tuned.
Scott Harris | March 2, 2005, 11:07am | #
Gee Whiz, do people have a memory or not?
Here is a link to a 2003 article outlining the causes of the war (the failure of Arab Islamic culture and nations), why America was targeted, what our options for response were, and a strategic overview of what we were trying to accomplish. Although it is dated July, 2003, this document is actually an updated version of a 2002 (pre-Iraq invasion) document.
So all those who presume that WMD was the only justification for war, or have somehow conveniently forgotten the other justifications given for war in Iraq, please go read this:
http://web.archive.org/web/20040202051739/http://denbeste.nu/essays/strategic_overview.shtml
Also, to get a deeper understanding of Red State American culture, you might try reading this 27 page article written during the Clinton Administration:
http://web.archive.org/web/20040202053417/denbeste.nu/external/Mead01.html
And for those too dense to understand it, the mere possession of WMD has never been justification for War. It is the intent to use WMD in an offensive manner, or even a covert manner which is the danger. It is a known FACT that Saddam Hussein had already possessed AND USED WMD in his wars with Iran and Kuwait, and on his own people. So after 9/11, even without ANY PROVABLE LINK between Saddam Hussein and 9/11, there was a NON-TRIVIAL risk that Saddam, post-9/11, would covertly supply WMD to one of many existing terrorist groups for the purpose of striking the USA.
Finally, from a strategic point of view, you first strike the enemy where he is exposed. Because of the existing sanctions, the existing No-Fly zones, the existing Kurdish pseudo-government, and the existing armed forces build-up in the Persion Gulf, attacking Iraq just made the most sense. Those who cannot grasp this fact are either terminally ignorant, or willy obtuse.
Richard | March 2, 2005, 12:26pm | #
I'm as happy as anyone to hear that Iraq didn't pose much of a terrorist threat to American civilians, and I'll be as happy as the next guy if democracy blooms in the Middle East like a flower in the desert. However, wasn't the Iraq War supposed to be about self-defense?
To ask that snarky question, you have to be wilfully ignorant of what the Bush Doctrine says (and has been saying, consistently, since early 2002).
You see, the Bush administration actually
did what liberals have long advocated: they asked themselves, "What are the
root causes of this Islamofascist war on the West?" Short version: disfunctional, autocratic/totalitarian societies. Logical conclusion: the long-term security of the West depends on doing something about this.
Now, you're welcome to disagree with their analysis, but you can't just pretend that it doesn't exist, and that they talked only about WMDs. Anyone who actually reads what Bush, Cheney, Powell, Rice, Perle, and others said prior to the invasion of Iraq will see that "it was all about WMDs" is nonsense.
The Bush Doctrine argues
precisely that freeing Muslims from tyranny is profoundly important to our success in the war with Islamofascism. The short- and intermediate-term reasons for the invasion involved WMDs, attacks on US planes, defiance of UN resolutions, etc. But the long-term reason was regime change in Iraq, as a catalyst for eventual regime changes throughout the region.
Perhaps you're just honestly confused by the fact that, for politic reasons, it's not stated as starkly as I'd state it: Iraq was the best place to start the process of toppling, one after the other, all the tyrannical regimes in the region, including those of our "friends."
Chaos | March 2, 2005, 4:26pm | #
Sadly not Ken. You can keep lying about post hoc ergo propter hoc fallacies - I'm amazed that you haven't just simplified it and yelled that neocons are now simply engaging in post hoc rationalizations for the war - but it really isn't hard to go to Google and find quotes. Really. It isn't.
America is a friend to the people of Iraq. Our demands are directed only at the regime that enslaves them and threatens us. When these demands are met, the first and greatest benefit will come to Iraqi men, women and children. - George W. Bush
Combat forces of the United States, Great Britain, Australia, Poland, and other countries enforced the demands of the United Nations, ended the rule of Saddam Hussein - and the people of Iraq are free. - George W. Bush
Everywhere that freedom stirs, let tyrants fear. - George W. Bush
For all who love freedom and peace, the world without Saddam Hussein's regime is a better and safer place. - George W. Bush
I believe in the transformational power of liberty. I believe that the free Iraq is in this nation's interests. I believe a free Afghanistan is in this nation's interest. - George W. Bush
I sent American troops to Iraq to make its people free, not to make them American. Iraqis will write their own history and find their own way. - George W. Bush
Some have argued that confronting the threat from Iraq could detract from the war against terror. To the contrary, confronting the threat posed by Iraq is crucial to winning the war on terror. - George W. Bush
The men and women of Afghanistan are building a nation that is free, and proud, and fighting terror - and America is honored to be their friend. - George W. Bush
The momentum of freedom in our world is unmistakable - and it is not carried forward by our power alone. We can trust in that greater power Who guides the unfolding of the years. And in all that is to come, we can know that His purposes are just and true. - George W. Bush
The story of America is the story of expanding liberty: an ever-widening circle, constantly growing to reach further and include more. Our nation's founding commitment is still our deepest commitment: In our world, and here at home, we will extend the frontiers of freedom. - George W. Bush
The terrorists are fighting freedom with all their cunning and cruelty because freedom is their greatest fear - and they should be afraid, because freedom is on the march. - George W. Bush
The tyrant has fallen, and Iraq is free. - George W. Bush
The United States of America will never be intimidated by thugs and assassins. The killers will fail, and the Iraqi people will live in freedom. - George W. Bush
The wisest use of American strength is to advance freedom. - George W. Bush
We're pursuing a strategy of freedom around the world, because I understand free nations will reject terror. Free nations will answer the hopes and aspirations of their people. Free nations will help us achieve the peace we all want. - George W. Bush
You can't put democracy and freedom back into a box. - George W. Bush
We will help the Iraqi people to find the benefits and assume the duties of self-government. The form of those institutions will arise from Iraq's own culture and its own choices. - George W. Bush, 3/26/03
The goal is an Iraq that stands on its own feet and that governs itself in freedom and in unity and with respect for the rights of all its citizens. We'd like to get to that goal as quickly as possible. - Paul Wolfowitz, 4/1/03
But clearly, even though it has been plainly stated time and again that the longest of long-term reasons for going into Iraq was to instigate a democratic revolution in the Middle East - liberals and neo-isolationist paleocons (well, who knows if calling them neo-isolationist is correct, I doubt that Buchanan ever wasn't isolationist) will simply assert that the neocons and other assorted crazy people who like Bush are simply coming up with post hoc rationalizations for the invasion and are now taking credit for something they shouldn't. How they can so blatantly lie with a straight face is an interesting opportunity to glance at the growing irrationality of people knowing that their ideologies are being invalidated with every passing day, but past that, there's not much value in talking with them.
Johnny | March 2, 2005, 6:57pm | #
Don't like Bush? Okay. Lots of people don't.
Think he lied. Okay. (I would have used "was wrong" in the sentence, but different strokes for different folks.)
Maybe we totally screwed up in our REASONS for invading Iraq, but it's time for everyone to finally admit that what our soldiers are fighting and dying for in the middle-east is helping to change the politics of the whole hemisphere and enhancing the lives of 10's of millions.
The people of Iraq and Afganhistan are on their way to freedom. Yes they lost over 100,000 people along the way, but sooner or later there was going to be a war against the totalitarian regime, and it would have likely been bloodier and carried on longer if it hadn't been brought to a swift end by our military.
What's going on in Iran with their political upheaval, the election reform in Saudi Arabia, the peaceful ousting of the pro-Syrian regime in Lebanon, Libya's change of heart on WMD's, etc. that's all because of U.S. intervention in Iraq and the establishment of democracy there.
So what if maybe Bush really is an idiot and maybe this is a case of the idiot savant who tripped over success? The end result is still that Iraq has a new government, Lebanon is tossing Syria out of their country, Iran is scared of a revolution within their borders, and Libya decided to play nice.
Hate Bush, and don't give him credit if you don't want (He certainly didn't do any of the fighting over in Iraq) but at least admit that whatever he did wrong, it does look like the invasion of Iraq could lead to good changes ahead.
Worst and most pessimistic case, we have a ton of new military presence in the gulf with troops and armor within striking distance of Iran, Syria, etc. and we never had that before (which I think helps to encourage peace in it's own way.)
Best case, in ten years we have young new democracies in Irag, Afghanistan, Lebanon, and other gulf states looking for our continued help as they develop their economies and work toward military security. Countries that no longer have maniacs and mullahs in control of their military, with governments that have to answer to the people.
I look at all the former Soviet states that are now strong U.S. Allies, and can't help but think that their new-found freedom is part of the reason they side with us. I'm optimistic that freedom in the middle-east will bring us friends there as well.
Scott Harris | March 2, 2005, 7:56pm | #
Ken,
You obviously missed my earlier comment with its references, so I'll restate:
Go here
http://web.archive.org/web/20040202051739/http://denbeste.nu/essays/strategic_overview.shtml
for a 15-page long strategic overview on why invading Iraq was 100% about defending America.
FYI, initially I opposed the invasion of Iraq. In September, 2002, I even emailed the White House to register my opposition. In December, 2002, I again emailed the White House to register my change of heart. I don't know about anyone else, but the WMD issue was not the convincing factor to me, although it played a role. The key element to getting me to change my mind was exactly the long-term strategy of toppling all the autocratic regimes of the Middle East.
To be absolutely blunt, I would not have supported the invasion if our goals were limited to only Iraq. It was the grand vision of changing the systems and cultures that convinced me to support the war. The reason this was compelling to me was that I did not view 9/11 as the start of the War. Rather, I viewed Munich, 1972 as the beginning. A thirty year pattern of ever escalating attacks which culminated in 9/11 convinced me that a small solution, such as targeting only Bin Laden, or limiting ourselves to Afghanistan just didn't make long-term sense to me. I must admit that the spectacle of Arabs dancing in the streets on 9/11 made me think that maybe, just maybe there was something really wrong there that needed fixing.
In summary, when I thought the proposed War was only about WMD, I opposed it. I thought that Hussein could probably be contained. He was just narcissistic enough not to want to be a martyr, and that would probably keep him in his box. But once I comprehended the greater strategy, I signed on. I was almost as dismissive of the WMD justification as the opponents of the war were. I won't be satisfied until the Saudi royal family is deposed.
But strategically, we couldn't really invade the Saudi's first. And yes, oil is the reason why we couldn't. An invasion of Saudi Arabia would completely destabilize the world's fuel supply, not just America's. That would lead to massive upheaval, and even famine in many third World countries. The primary reason Europe opposed us is the fear of this very destabilization.
To say that such Grand arguments were not made is just true. You are free to disagree with any argument made. But denying it was made is not honest. Were WMD overhyped? Yes. Why? To try to get more Allies abroad to sign on, and get American non-strategical-thinking fence sitters off the fence. In short, WMD was hyped because it worked. That doesn't invalidate the other reasons. Do many Americans buy into the argument that WMD were the ONLY reason we invaded? Sure, but that is because certain elements of the press have been saying repeatedly that the ONLY reason was WMD. The Administration never said that.
Now you can suggest that I am just lying, but in that case, you are not really engaging in discussion, but in invective.