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That Bailout Just Keeps Getting Bigger and Bigger...

What's new on the bailout front? If it's Monday, it's got to be time for more taxpayer support:

The U.S. Federal Reserve hiked its support for insurer American International Group Inc to about $150 billion on Monday after an initial bailout attempt failed to stem massive losses.

What about the automakers (didn't we already bail them out a little while ago)?:

The press for a federal bailout of the auto industry increased over the weekend.

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., said in a letter to Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson that the Bush administration should consider expanding the $700 billion financial rescue to include car companies.

"A healthy automobile manufacturing sector is essential to the restoration of financial market stability," they wrote.

Maybe, says Paul Krugman, a World War II-size jobs program will turn the trick:

F.D.R. did not, in fact, manage to engineer a full economic recovery during his first two terms....

What saved the economy, and the New Deal, was the enormous public works project known as World War II, which finally provided a fiscal stimulus adequate to the economy's needs.

This history offers important lessons for the incoming administration.

One upbeat sign: Kansas banks are wary of signing up for government injections:

The head of the Kansas Bankers Association says the state's banks are reluctant to take part in the capital injection program included in the financial bailout.

Association president Chuck Stones said "banks are very wary of the program" that Congress approved last month as part of the $700 billion bailout. The Troubled Asset Relief Program injects capital in the form of preferred stock.

The Topeka Capital-Journal reported that Capitol Federal Financial of Topeka and UMB Financial Corp. of Kansas City, Mo., have both declined to participate.

Capitol Federal CEO John Dicus said the bank already has sufficient resources to continue lending money to home buyers. Dicus said the program's preferred stock requires payment of a 5 percent dividend rate, and that his bank would have to lend at 8 percent to cover the required rate.

All of this leaves me wondering: Where's My Bailout?

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Comments to "That Bailout Just Keeps Getting Bigger and Bigger...":

sceptic | November 10, 2008, 10:34am | #

about Krugman:

This guy knows better.

I'm dropping all presumption of innocence right at this point. Money and/or sexual favours from the entire Pentagon were likely involved.

robc | November 10, 2008, 10:37am | #

sceptic,

Have to agree. I dont have a nobel in economics, but even I know that the WW2 thing is a myth.

axiomata | November 10, 2008, 10:47am | #

Any chance of keeping that numbers from the bailout balance sheet post updated as they sharpen their red pencils after adding a few more bailouts with a bunch of zeroes at the end?

Gilbert Martin | November 10, 2008, 10:51am | #

FDR didn't "engineer a full economic recovery"?

Ha!

He didn't engineer anything that remotely resembled any type of recovery.

It was his policies that prolonged the depression and turned it into the "great" one to begin with.

LaoTzu | November 10, 2008, 10:53am | #

If a war/huge public works project will solve the financial crisis, why haven't the Iraq and Afghanistan wars kept this one at bay? Do we just need to attack someone who's not a 3rd world country for it to work?

Kenobi | November 10, 2008, 10:58am | #

What we should really do is bomb some major city into ashes, and then dedicate the whole country to rebuilding it. It would be so great for the economy! Think of all the extra work we would have to do just to get by.

For the long term, we should really think about some kind of ditch-digging law. For every hundred dollars spent by a person, that person should be required to dig a five foot deep hole. This would doubtless create a lot of demand for food, given all the calories people would burn, and if we allowed people to pay others to do it we could soak the rich and have virtually 100% unemployment for years and years. We could keep people occupied for generations and dig a new grand canyon with just this one bailout.

So seriously, gentlemen, quit casting aspersions at Krugman, learn some economics, get your heads out of that libertarian sand, and dare to dream!

Kenobi | November 10, 2008, 10:59am | #

Above, I of course meant 100% employment. Nope, not a freudian slip at all.

domoarrigato | November 10, 2008, 11:06am | #

We need to give enough tax breaks to the lower and middle class so that every American will have an above average income.

JW | November 10, 2008, 11:10am | #

How can the economy not be improving yet? I'm breaking as many windows as I can, as fast as I can!

Pro Libertate | November 10, 2008, 11:11am | #

Well, as we can see, the Americathon of Bailouts is not working very well. Again, let me suggest that the Pro Libertate Bailout PlanĀ® is the superior option:
Pro Libertate | September 25, 2008, 3:39pm | #
I've been thinking about this for a while, and I think that Congress should vote to give the $700 billion to one individual, one person who can serve as a symbol for all of America. That individual, of course, would be me.

As I accept this money and live my life in the manner of a Greek god, America will be inspired and its confidence will be restored. The economy will bounce back completely on February 1, 2010, when I broadcast a message from my vacation home. . .on Mars.

concerned observer | November 10, 2008, 11:18am | #

And, of course, the wingnuts are denying that deregulation had anything, at all, to do with the financial crisis.

kusterdu | November 10, 2008, 11:22am | #

concerned observer,

Yes.

Don Mynack | November 10, 2008, 11:22am | #

"And, of course, the wingnuts are denying that deregulation had anything, at all, to do with the financial crisis."

The only thing making money in the current crisis is unregulated hedge funds, provided you pick the right one...

Gilbert Martin | November 10, 2008, 11:23am | #

"What we should really do is bomb some major city into ashes, and then dedicate the whole country to rebuilding it. It would be so great for the economy! Think of all the extra work we would have to do just to get by."

Absolutely!

And we can improve international trade in the process!

We can buy one of these from the Soviets to get it done:


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FfoQsZa8F1c

domoarrigato | November 10, 2008, 11:24am | #

co,

What deregulation are you referring to?

sceptic | November 10, 2008, 11:26am | #

probably SOX.

kusterdu | November 10, 2008, 11:28am | #

Also, way to go Kansas! You're redeeming yourself after briefly refusing to teach evolution in schools.

JW | November 10, 2008, 11:29am | #

domo--It's deregulation! Don't you know any better?

What it is specifically and what it actually did aren't important. What is important is that the political class and their lackeys can assign blame using code words that the right people (wink-wink, nudge-nudge) understand all too well.

Picky details just get in the way of the narrative.

domoarrigato | November 10, 2008, 11:34am | #

seriously - can someone name one financial regulation that Bush eliminated? just one! Let the googling begin.

concerned observer | November 10, 2008, 11:39am | #

fine, go hide in your libertarian fantasy world.

MikeP | November 10, 2008, 11:41am | #

Shorter concerned observer:

I can't.

andy | November 10, 2008, 11:48am | #

Domo, I'm sure there's gotta be one. Lots of laws get repealed all the time. The Federal register is 70.000 pages, I'm sure they must have deleted something at some point....

domoarrigato | November 10, 2008, 11:50am | #

c.o. having trouble? its www.google.com

Pro Libertate | November 10, 2008, 11:53am | #

I think we should all begin self-deregulating.

andy | November 10, 2008, 11:53am | #

I have to say, I tried and failed. But new regulations did get a lot of results....

In fact it's worth doing a google trends...

Lurker | November 10, 2008, 11:54am | #

DAAAAAAMN, CO just got owned.

Pro Libertate | November 10, 2008, 11:58am | #

I just shrugged off the FTC's and the IRS' jurisdiction over me. Very liberating.

JW | November 10, 2008, 12:00pm | #

I think we should all begin self-deregulating.

I usually do that after drinking heavily. It can be messy.

rhywun | November 10, 2008, 12:07pm | #

can someone name one financial regulation that Bush eliminated
I was going to say derivatives and credit default swaps, but that was under Clinton in 2000.

domoarrigato | November 10, 2008, 12:14pm | #

ok, jeez, I expected more resistance than that...

There is the commodities and futures modernization act (2000) signed by clinton during the lame duck session. Not Bushes bill, but def. done by the GOP. Only dealt with energy derivatives though, so pretty limited in scope.

Also there is Gramm Leach Blily that allowed commercial banks to operate investment banking activities. Also signed by Clinton, but was a GOP invention. It is also a bind alley for the deregulation story - since investment banks that didn't have a deposit base have suffered most in this crisis. If anything, it cuts against the deregulation arguments claims, since it allowed key stabilising mergers to happen as the crisis unfolded - as fmr. President Clinton has said.

jsh | November 10, 2008, 12:14pm | #

"I was going to say derivatives and credit default swaps, but that was under Clinton in 2000."

Clinton is yesterday's news; the libs will throw him under the bus to blame 'deregulation' for today's problems.

R C Dean | November 10, 2008, 12:19pm | #

I think we should all begin self-deregulating.

I heard you'll go blind . . . .

domoarrigato | November 10, 2008, 12:20pm | #

And in the other corner we have Sarbanes-Oxley - actually signed by Bush. It's perhaps the most intrustive, and extensive reach of government into business ever signed.

In any case, the overall story of "deregulation" is one step foward, a 5k back. There is plenty of blame to heap on the GOP with regards to this mess, but deregulation isn't it.

P Brooks | November 10, 2008, 12:22pm | #

I read a Krugman column yesterday (I'm not sure if it's the one linked to) which pretty much boiled down to: "Mister Messiah-Elect- Go long!"

There's nothing, apparently, Krugman doesn't think we should do, and nobody he doesn't think we should save. I'm going to start stockpiling Pall Malls.

Hazel Meade | November 10, 2008, 12:26pm | #

The actual party line is not so much that it was "deregulation" but a failure to introduce enough new regulations to deal with the trade in derivatives and such.

IMO, it wasn't so much that even. The only true regulatory failure I can identify is the rating agencies failing to properly rate securities, resulting in a lack of transparency, so investors were unable to make rational choices. And even that isn't so much a regulatory failure as a problem caused by perserve incentives produced by other regulations.

To the extent the current situation counts as a "crisis", (and I see no crisis inherent in dumb bankers losing money and dumb homeowners losing houses), it was caused by government-induced perverse incentives and the law of unintended consequences. I never saw any real evidence that the credit market was about to "freeze" - I'm still getting credit card offers in the mail.

RL | November 10, 2008, 12:29pm | #

Maybe, says Paul Krugman, a World War II-size jobs program will turn the trick:

F.D.R. did not, in fact, manage to engineer a full economic recovery during his first two terms....

What saved the economy, and the New Deal, was the enormous public works project known as World War II, which finally provided a fiscal stimulus adequate to the economy's needs.

This history offers important lessons for the incoming administration.

------
Nick, I have no idea why you interpret Krugman's statement as a call for a huge jobs program. The clearly more straight-forward interpretation is Krugman is calling for the US to get into a massive war.

domoarrigato | November 10, 2008, 12:33pm | #

not so much that it was "deregulation" but a failure to introduce enough new regulations to deal with the trade in derivatives and such
Exactly. It is "deregulation" in the sense that a refundable tax credit to someone with no income is a "tax reduction" ie. the Orwellian sense.

John C. Randolph | November 10, 2008, 12:34pm | #

I wonder if the people will support the "Krugman Plan", which will involve the breaking of every window, mirror, windshield, and other sheet of glass in the country?

Didn't the Germans have a plan like that? "Krystallnacht", wasn't it?

-jcr

P Brooks | November 10, 2008, 12:39pm | #

We will provide not only jobs for glaziers, but also street sweepers!

GG | November 10, 2008, 12:42pm | #

What's new on the bailout front?

Also, Bloomberg News Files Lawsuit, Barney Frank Defends Fed's Secrecy

John C. Randolph | November 10, 2008, 12:46pm | #

We will provide not only jobs for glaziers, but also street sweepers!

I wonder if the economics prize that Krugman just got will ever recover any of its former prestige?

-jcr

John C. Randolph | November 10, 2008, 12:49pm | #

Clinton is yesterday's news; the libs will throw him under the bus

I'm not sure of that. They like to point to the dot-com bubble under Clinton and claim that it somehow reflects positively on tax-and-spend policies, despite the fact that Clinton was thwarted by a Republican congress in most of his evil machinations.

-jcr

fresno dan | November 10, 2008, 12:57pm | #

Where is my bailout? With a mere 1 billion dollars, I could stimulate Las Vegas, liquer sales, and multitudes (multitudes I tells ya) of strippers, who risk being thrown into the streets nude. Undoubtedly, this would cause a great spurt of liquidity, causing emplyment to swell...and all Americans to come...together

Matthew | November 10, 2008, 1:36pm | #

"stimulate Las Vegas".

That sounds naughty.

Matthew | November 10, 2008, 1:37pm | #

jcr,

I wonder if the economics prize that Krugman just got will ever recover any of its former prestige

The Nobels have been losing prestige ever since Arafat and Carter got one.

Silentz | November 10, 2008, 1:40pm | #

Barney Frank putting a spin on something? Inconceivable!

adrian | November 10, 2008, 1:52pm | #

co: you are no joe

from an article on cap mag

link


"There were 51,000 NEW regulations added over the last 12 years."

John C. Randolph | November 10, 2008, 1:52pm | #

The Nobels have been losing prestige ever since Arafat and Carter got one.

Oh, I'd put it earlier than that. Giving one to Kissinger was a real knee-slapper.

-jcr

concerned observer | November 10, 2008, 1:58pm | #

You people are a bunch of stupid dicks.

Silentz | November 10, 2008, 2:01pm | #

Well said CO! That's the best way to win a debate! Call them names! Much better than actually trying to support your claim!

P Brooks | November 10, 2008, 2:02pm | #

First, they came for the concerned observers, but I stood by, and did nothing...


because I was a stupid dick!

Matthew | November 10, 2008, 2:13pm | #

co,

Isn't it about time you ran away, waving your arms in the air and crying?

concerned observer | November 10, 2008, 2:15pm | #

If you people have failed to acknowledge that this crisis was caused by the party of deregulation, then it's pointless to try to change your minds. It's like trying to teach an idiot child to read.

razon | November 10, 2008, 2:20pm | #

I'm confused, the Krugman article is a piece journalistic deadpan....Right?

P Brooks | November 10, 2008, 2:22pm | #

I gots me dem deregulatin blues.

miche | November 10, 2008, 2:24pm | #

Has CO said anything of substance yet?

John C. Randolph | November 10, 2008, 2:46pm | #

Has CO said anything of substance yet?

Of course not! How could he get a nobel prize for economics if he did?

-jcr

JW | November 10, 2008, 3:27pm | #

It's like trying to teach an idiot child to read.

Serenity now!

Head | November 10, 2008, 4:18pm | #

Damn, joe is much better at this stuff - I thought c.o. was joe until now.

Silentz | November 10, 2008, 5:09pm | #

CO, convince us. You can't come in here and spout platitudes you got from someone you heard and expect us to have a revelation. You say it's deregulation that caused it. Show us. Statements don't change minds. Facts do. So far, you've given none of those. And yet you're surprised. Huh.

Silentz | November 10, 2008, 5:10pm | #

And you may not be able to teach an idiot child to read, but if you're going to try, you need to do more than just hand him a book.

concerned observer | November 10, 2008, 6:36pm | #

Gee, you could look at your ex-hero Alan Greenspan's testimony before Congress.

Pro Libertate | November 10, 2008, 6:56pm | #

Do libertarians even like Greenspan? It seems to me that most of us are rather unhappy with the Federal Reserve and its arcane, manipulative policies.

John Thacker | November 11, 2008, 12:46am | #

The only true regulatory failure I can identify is the rating agencies failing to properly rate securities, resulting in a lack of transparency, so investors were unable to make rational choices.

There is a regulatory failure in capital requirements. I.e., the capital requirements if you hold onto your own mortgage is x% of the mortgage, but if it's securitized, then the AAA-rated trench only requires y% in capital requirements, and so on.

So there was regulatory arbitrage, in that securitizing mortgages into mortgage-backed securities could result in lower overall capital requirements.

Brandybuck | November 11, 2008, 2:39am | #

Bigger and harder bailouts. Please stop. My rectum is bleeding profusely.

Daniel Reeves | November 11, 2008, 7:26am | #

Suggestion for Krugman's reading list.