Short Sellers Got No Reason to Live?
Katherine Mangu-Ward | September 22, 2008, 11:54am
Everyone hates a know-it-all, which may be why the world is ganging up on short sellers right now.
By definition, people who were shorting companies that subsequently crashed were totally right. To dramatically oversimplify: Short sellers are broadcasting signals to the market that the companies they're shorting suck. When they're right and big companies come tumbling down, you'd think everyone would rally 'round and ask, "How did you know? Tell us your secret?" Instead, we blame them for the financial troubles of the less prescient:
Short sellers—not management—defended honesty in the pricing of shares by demanding accountability. Short sellers openly warned about the problems at Enron, Tyco, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac before their meltdowns. And when it comes to investigating corporate fraud, it's the short sellers who are the detectives, while all too often our regulators practice archaeology.
In fact, in times of financial crisis, short selling has gotten the short end of the stick pretty frequently:
Short selling has been misunderstood and maligned throughout history. In the 1630s, England banned short selling after tulipmania collapsed in the Netherlands to prevent a similar fallout in England. More recently in Malaysia and Pakistan, short sellers have been faulted for stock-market busts.
Right a wrong—go find someone who sold Fannie and Freddie short and give him a hug.
ChrisH | September 22, 2008, 1:07pm | #
1) I may be another starry-eyed free-market fanboy here, but my understanding is that shorting HELPS during a panicked market. If the market only had people in it for the long haul, once it really starts down, you either join the panic -- to get out while you can -- or sit it out until it's hit bottom.
People who are in the process of shorting have an incentive to come in and buy, because they are already making a profit, and because they're panicked in the other direction -- "I gotta unload this thing before it starts back UP!".
This slows a collapse, or at the very least provides liquidity on the way down.
2) I'm too lazy + distracted-trying-to-look-like-I'm-working to look it up, but among the many recent HnR posts was one that addresses the "uptick" rule (regarding McCain babbling into his drool cup in the guise of economic musing). Survey says: it does nothing. Therefore, as long as it is completely irrelevant to solving the problem, if we need reassurance, let's all believe that as long as the Large Hadron Collider is up and running, it is protecting us from the negative effects of downtick-short-selling, because the LHC is waaaay cooler than the SEC.
3) By and large, ditto naked short selling. It sounds slightly nuts to me that you pretend you have something, sell it, buy it back and make money in this process, but the evidence is that this doesn't effect things any differently than... clothed(?) shorting.
4) re the sniper and the caveman: after all those Geico commercials, I kind of feel bad whenever a caveman is used as an example of an ignorant person who can't figure things out.
And if you don't think there are cavemen lurking on HnR...
andy | September 22, 2008, 6:41pm | #
thar be a list, paul!
http://www.nasdaqtrader.com/Trader.aspx?id=RegSHOThreshold
perhaps you've seen the reg sho list? it has such disreputable companies as zion bancorp and panera bread company!
sure, banks with a lot of mortgages on the books (such as a zion, which is a holding company for a few banks) and higher-end chain coffee shoppes are going to be struggling in the economy in general right now. that doesn't mean that they should be completely brought down by naked shorting, but it does mean that people are more likely to believe that these companies crumbled as a result of their own mismanagement and not as a result of naked shorting. the sec even recognizes it as an issue that exists (source: http://www.sec.gov/divisions/marketreg/mrfaqregsho1204.htm):
"Regulation SHO provides a new regulatory framework governing short selling of securities. Regulation SHO is designed, in part, to fulfill several objectives, including (1) establish uniform locate and delivery requirements in order to address problems associated with failures to deliver, including potentially abusive “naked” short selling (i.e., selling short without having borrowed the securities to make delivery) ..."
"... (Rule 203) also imposes additional requirements on broker-dealers for securities in which a substantial amount of failures to deliver have occurred."
the fun part about these rules, if you read on, is that there's really no threat of enforcement or punitive action. then there's a waffling on the sec's part about whether or not naked shorting creates "counterfeit" shares:
"Question 7.1: Do naked short sale transactions create "counterfeit shares?"
Some believe that naked short sale transactions cause the number of shares trading to exceed the number of shares outstanding, which in turn allows broker-dealers to trade shares that don't exist. Others believe that the U.S. clearance and settlement system, and specifically the National Securities Clearing Corporation's ("NSCC") Continuous Net Settlement System ("CNS"), produces "phantom" or "counterfeit" securities by accounting for fails to deliver.
Naked short selling has no effect on an issuer's total shares outstanding."
that last statement is a tautology if you think about it since naked shorting only has an effect on people's
perception of total shares outstanding. we all know that more than 100% of anything can't really exist, but that doesn't mean that it can't be perceived by the market when they see trading volume spike. they go on to recognize that, yes, there can be more shares in float and trading volume than exist in the market:
"There is significant confusion relating to the fact that the aggregate number of positions reflected in customer accounts at broker-dealers
may in fact be greater than the number of securities issued and outstanding. This is due in part to the fact that securities intermediaries, such as broker-dealers and banks, credit customer accounts prior to delivery of the securities."
eager to hear your points.