Destroying Jobs Is a Feature, Not a Bug!
Julian Sanchez | July 25, 2006, 5:12am
If a libertarian had written this New York Times op-ed as a piece of Swiftian satire, I can only assume it would have been regarded as ham-handed and over-the-top. But barring some recent and little-publicized reversal of ideological polarity, I've got to suppose quondam presidential aspirant Mike Dukakis and UCLA prof Daniel Mitchell are in earnest. Their core idea:
If we are really serious about turning back the tide of illegal immigration, we should start by raising the minimum wage from $5.15 per hour to something closer to $8.
Following this modest proposal, we're treated to an unnecessarily long rehash of the argument that it's a canard to talk about "jobs Americans won't do" when, after all, Americans will do most anything at
some wage. This is, of course, an obtuse response, though I lay the blame for its familiarity with the immigration advocates who provoked it by crafting their talking points for an audience brighter than the average toaster. The obvious rejoinder is that very, very many of those jobs simply wouldn't exist at the wage levels necessary to fill them purely domestically, unless we assume that the demand for landscaping is totally inelastic.
But don't worry, Dukakis and Mitchell have anticipated that objection. In fact, it's the crux of their case! You see:
If we raise the minimum wage, it's possible some low-end jobs may be lost; but more Americans would also be willing to work in such jobs, thereby denying them to people who aren't supposed to be here in the first place.
Again, but for that byline, I'd read the satirist's ironic understatement here: It's not
possible that a minimum wage hike would destroy jobs, it is—notwithstanding the hoary progressive tradition of insistence to the contrary—
the crucial presumption underlying their plan. Because Dukakis and Mitchell reject, for eminently sound reasons, schemes to seal the borders with fences or create intrusive national ID systems and verification requirements for employers. So in effect we're being promised that raising the minimum wage will entail "turning back the tide of illegal immigration" as a purely economic consquence.
But gosh, since "[m]illions of illegal immigrants work for minimum and even sub-minimum wages," wouldn't pumping up the minimum hourly wage by a few dollars entice still more workers over the borders? Well, no, not if you assume that whatever incentive is provided by the higher wage gets washed out by such dramatic job shrinkage that the expected value of hoofing north drops despite the significant income boost for those lucky enough to find a job. (And add the assumption that you don't just drive that many more into the illicit economy paying those "sub-minimum" wages.)
I'm guessing any conservative economist who predicted employment contraction of that magnitude following a $3 hike in the minimum wage would get roundly blasted as an alarmist wingnut and shill for business. I'm morbidly curious to see whether Michael Dukakis can get away with it, as long as the mojados are supposed to bear the brunt of the losses. [Cross-posted @ Notes from the Lounge]
Randy | July 25, 2006, 11:32am | #
Federal Minimum Wage should be $15 per hour.
~home, gasoline and many car prices grew over 6% annually since 1974 suggesting that the federal minimum wage should have grown from $2 per hour then to over $14 per hour today.
~according to the U.S. Department of Labor, changes in the federal minimum wage from 1938 to 1968 jumped by a factor of 6.4. Meaning the 1976 minimum wage of $2.30 should be $14.72 today.
~and during the forty years from 1938 to 1978 the federal minimum wage climbed by a factor of 10.6 from 25-cents to $2.65. Meaning the late 1966 wage of $1.40, later this year should pay $14.84 per hour... about the average wage for an American worker today.
Prices, productivity, corporate profits and Congress' salaries have all inflated imposingly, so why not workerbee wages?
The argument that American exports would suffer abysmally due to higher labor costs is likely mute, as many foreigners already enjoy more disposable income than Americans do... where do you think all that cheap capital (money to lend us) comes from? And cut-rate foreign labor now making corporate logo T-shirts for under a buck hasn't led to $4 Ts; they're still $14 Ts in the US.
Misspent social programs like Medicare and Social Security could again be made secure with the increased tax revenue generated by higher wages. But it seems capitalists (those with money) want the working class (now without money) to borrow and pay interest to them for lifetime-long home, car and credit card loans.
And that is not capitalism, my friends. It's capitalizing. Just like allowing some companies to undermine markets by using illegal labor...
Liquid capital serves. Liquidating capitalism devours.
Randy | July 25, 2006, 4:24pm | #
Real minimum wage growth has been just 3 percent annually since 1974, meaning today the equivalent price of:
gasoline should be around $1.17, not $2 or $3 per gallon,
a shiny Nissan Z-model car should sticker for $11,750, not almost $30,000,
a new home in the Pacific Northwest should close under $80,000, not well over $200,000,
even the 1974, 8-cent postage stamp should cost only 22-cents, not 39.
So while many real prices and worker productivity have skyrocketed, effective wages and benefits have tanked, mostly masked by extensive financing.
It’s no surprise then that according to census figures, one in eight Americans now live in poverty and as many as one in three visit poverty at least 2 months each year.
For the middle class and our kids, the constitutional right to the pursuit of happiness, by wage prosperity, has been filibustered.
P J J | July 25, 2006, 5:02pm | #
Randy is right, as far as he went. Why not take care of all our social ills in one fell swoop.
US citizens don't take minimum wage jobs because they can't support a family, even with both parents working on the current scale scale.
IT ISN'T THAT AMERICANS WON'T TAKE THE JOBS, THEY CAN'T AFFORD TO. WITH THE CURRENT SYSTEM IN PLACE,INDIGENTS, INCLUDING ILLEGALS, RECEIVE MORE "BENEFITS" THAN DO MINIMUM WAGE WORKERS. Especially when minimum wage workers are often limited to 30 hr work weeks, thereby falling outside of the benefits paid a full time worker. RAISING THE MINIMUM SIGNIFICANTLY WOULD CUT DOWN ON CRIME, NEED FOR JAILS, WELFARE PROGRAMS AND THE IMMIGRANTS THAT ARE NOW TAKING THOSE CURRENT MINIMUM WAGE JOBS. OF COURSE THE EMPLOYERS WILL BALK, BUT THEIR UNDERGROUND ECONOMY IS DRAINING AMERICAS' RESOURCES, WHEREAS THOSE NEWLY EMPLOYED WOULD PAY TAXES AND CUT DOWN ON THE WELFARE COUNTRY WE HAVE BECOME.
Among the reasons the immigrants work for this rate, and less, is because the worker in being paid by the underground economy in play, and can't complain because they know their bosses can find others lined up behind him waiting for the job. They live in cramped, horrible housing, have no medical insurance.(of course we pay this, as for all indigents) don't pay taxes or, for their light, water, air/heat. It is manifestly unfair to them and to the our economy.
A beginning solution:
1. Develop a Health Care System possibly based on the one Massachusetts recently adopted. Universal Health Care would take the employer out of the insurance business and would allow those employed to be paid a "living wage." The tax on wages would help pay for the Universal Health Care, but still put more in the workers pocket.
2. Eliminate the "underground" employment of immigrants. Fines on the employer would be a start. Then, ferret them out with the intent of subsequently making them US citizens. Not a "free pass." If those illegal workers have been here for a number of years, register them to BEGIN their process of becoming legal citizens. They MUST learn ENGLISH, be SCHOOLED, and eschew their allegiance to their foreign country. They could continue their employment and LEGALLY contribute to their own retirement and pay taxes while going through the Americanization process. They currently avail themselves of medical treatment and American schools for their children as well as the services of Police and Fire departments without contributing to the cost. They would, at least, be legally covered by a system into which they have paid taxes. Employers could afford to pay a "living" wage when they are not shackled by health care and Social Security costs.
3. Establish a Universal Retirement Fund into which workers would automatically invest by having it deducted from their pay as Social Security now is. The worker could take the fund to subsequent jobs and not be tied to a particular employer for fear of losing their company pensions. TIAA-CREF, a fund used by Educators, among other groups, is a good example. Its well managed and provides security for those unable to "save." If "matched" by the employer, it would still be less costly than a separate pension fund. This is better than the current system of, as Bush stated, having IOU's in a filing cabinet.
4. Those immigrants not employed, except for those who are part part of a worker's family, would be given a temporary one year worker pass. After the one year, if still unemployed, they would be returned to their native country. Once employed, they'd be started on the rode to becoming US citizens. If, within that year, they start to learn english and stay out of trouble, they'd be ahead of the game.
5. Those incarcerated would be returned to their native country thereby eliminating the costs of housing, feeding, clothing the miscreants and, perhaps, making a life of crime highly undesirable This saving could immediately fund US Immigration personnel to round up illegals for processing. Raising that minimum wage would also take more of our citizens off the streets, and again take the burdens of incarceration and welfare out of the equation.
I don't pretend to think any of this could/would be initiated concurrently, but it sure would be a start.