Londonistan
Charles Paul Freund | July 10, 2005, 10:26am
The Washington Post this morning offers a lengthy piece about the "sprawling shape and deep history of al Qaeda and related extremist groups in London." Writes the Post, the British capital long ago "became 'the Star Wars bar scene' for Islamic radicals, as former White House counterterrorism official Steven Simon called it, attracting a polyglot group of intellectuals, preachers, financiers, arms traders, technology specialists, forgers, travel organizers and foot soldiers."
"Today," according to the piece, "al Qaeda and its offshoots retain broader connections to London than to any other city in Europe . . ."
The NYT fronts its own version of the London story, writing that in recent years, "Britain had become a breeding ground for hate," and its capital "a crossroads for would-be terrorists who used it as a home base . . ."
The New Stateman's Jamie Campbell wrote last August about Why terrorists love Britain.
Tom Crick | July 10, 2005, 10:12pm | #
"And what if the Taliban had executed Osama in October of 2001? Should we not have routed the Taliban?"
Occupying Afghanistan wasn't just a matter of catching Osama bin Laden; it was also a matter of disrupting Taliban support of an active terror network that attacked us. It was a war of self-defense.
A mixture of idealism and pragmatism also drives my opposition to the Iraq War. By idealism, I mean the value of life and by pragmatism, I mean the cost/benefit analysis from the perspective of the American people.
...I admit that I thought there would be many more American casualties than there have been. Still, there have been far too many for what we got in return.
...and it's not clear to me that the connection between Al Qaeda and Saddam Hussein, at the time that we invaded, was sufficiently dangerous to warrant such a sacrifice. In fact, I suspect that the threat that Al Qaeda presents to the American people from Iraq may be greater now and in the future than it was at the time we invaded.
Assuming all the reports are true, Saddam tried to kill the President in 1993, a full ten years before the invasion of Iraq. I don't think you'll find anyone in this forum who thinks that Saddam Hussein is anything other than a horrendous butcher, but who, in 1993 or 2003, thought that we should occupy Iraq because of Saddam's attempt to kill Bush the Elder?
...Some things are more expensive than valuable. I don't think we should ignore the value of Iraqi civilian life, but even if we do, more than 1,700 American troops are dead and almost 7,000 have been wounded. ...So what did we get for that?
If there was any question about Iraq collaborating with Al Qaeda before, there's no question that Al Qaeda is as thick as fleas there now. ...and it's still capable of hitting targets in Madrid and London. Surely it's a testament to our domestic efforts that they haven't struck here since 9/11, 'cause surely they would if they could. Do you attribute the lack of a follow up attack to the invasion of Iraq? If so, why?
...I find myself wondering that if we had to attack a member of the axis of evil, maybe we should have chosen another target? ...Maybe Iran? Iran has an active WMD program, and it supports Hezbollah. Elements of what became Hezbollah murdered hundreds of Americans in 1982, did they not? So why didn't we invade Iran instead?
I suppose the answer is that in spite of the reality of a WMD program and openly supporting terrorism, the cool heads looked at the likely costs and benefits and prevailed.
So what were the benefits of the Iraq War? Saddam Hussein wasn't much of a threat to his neighbors, not under the watchful eye of the coalition, at least. So what did we get Mona? What did the American people get for their sacrifice? Are we safer now? ...Are we safer from Al Qaeda now than we were before?
I, the evil conquer | July 11, 2005, 2:58am | #
Dynamist,
When self-defense is interpreted to mean pre-emptive force I think we're on soft ground, libertarianally.
How come? Seriously.
This
is slippery ground.
No pre-emption? Ever? Are you -- are we libertarians -- really, really sure we mean this? I think the answer is not so cut and dried, though I've heard many libertarians attempt to argue that it is.
Hitler is a perfect example. If anybody in Europe had bothered paying attention to what he was saying, they would have picked up on where he wanted to go. Ditto with the Soviets later on. And ditto, I say, with PRC right now today.
Should we invade the PRC right now? I think probably not. But I also won't rule out the possibile scenerio that invading them pre-emptively might be the smartest move.
The international stage is not an anarchist utopia. It's far worse. It's a grade school recess playground, except there's nobody to monitor the children. Nor can you leave the playground. There's no self defense except what you can muster on your own.
So, say there's a bully on the playground and you know he's after you. You think, in fact, that he intends to kill you if he can.
Mind you, he hasn't laid a finger on you yet. But everything in your gut tells that this guy wants to do you in. And the guy is a lot bigger and stronger than you are....
Does the libertarian credo require that you, that we all, must wait for the bully to throw the first punch? In a circumstance where your only real advantage would be a surprise attack?
If that's the libertarian stance, then let me be the first to say it's stupid.
Now, this is where it gets slippery. Maybe, your guts are wrong and this guy doesn't intend to kill you. Maybe he's just gonna rough you up a bit and steal your licorice sticks. Or maybe he's just been trying to scare you for the fun of it.
It's a judgement call, and I'll grant you it could be called wrong. Mistakes can and will happen.
But I'll still say that in my book, if I really thought this guy intended to do me, in this scenerio I'd probably hide behind something with the biggest stick I could find, and "pre-emptively" wamp him in the head when he didn't see me coming.
So if you're going to punish someone, then by all means start with me! Because I don't buy the "as libertarians we can never do pre-emptive strikes" line.
Now, I also don't buy Bush's line that Saddam needed pre-empting. But it's too late for that one.
I, the evil conquerer | July 11, 2005, 3:23am | #
Dynamist and Ruthless,
I want to pose two questions to both of you (and anybody else). It's something I posted on another thread and nobody jumped on it (!).
1) Is it really true that we should never ever act pre-emptively in self defense?
2) Is it really true that we should never ever meddle in another nation's politics?
The standard libertarian answer seems to be "yes" to both. I understand the logic and agree with it, to a significant extent. By that logic, I argue that the US should never have backed the creation of Isreal.
Too late for that one.
However, in another context look at Hitler. In retrospect, would it not have been the right thing to do, if the US had acted to prevent his rise to power in Germany? I contend that "meddling" in German politics to keep that lunatic out of office would have been the right answer.
Translate this to today's world. Listen to bin Laden. More than anything else, it sounds to me like he's pissed because he couldn't set up a Taliban style gov't in Saudi Arabia. Yes? And didn't US "meddling" in Saudi Arabia have something to do with that?
I think US "meddling" did have something to do with bin Laden's Big Beef. I also think that keeping someone like bin Laden from gaining significant power over Saudi oil revenues was a smart thing for the US to do.
I think that sometimes, meddling in other nations' business, pre-emptively, is the only right answer.
Again, I concede this is slippery ground. There are judgement calls involved, which can be called wrong.
But my whole argument is that we cannot avoid the need to make such judgement calls. Saying "we never ever meddle in another nation's politics, and we never ever act in self defense pre-emptively", is a cop out. A dangerous cop out.
I don't buy bin Laden's line that he's mad at the US over Isreal. That's pan-Arabism talk, and it tells us (I say) that bin Laden wants power -- on the same scale that Hitler wanted power.
If the US has "meddled" in Saudi politics in ways that have prevented bin Laden's rise to power, then I say we've done the right thing.
bin Laden is a pain in the ass right now. But if he got serious political power, backed by huge financial income, he could turn into a lot more than a pain in the ass.
I say that we are right to pre-emptively conquer the bin Ladens of the world, where and when they appear.