White Vans, Laser Beams, and Xmas Lights
Jeff Taylor | December 31, 2004, 9:35am
Living through the 2002 Beltway Sniper episode taught me that mass psychosis is only a few sloppy news reports away. Millions of people lived in mortal fear of white panel vans despite the lack of any real evidence linking the ubiquitous vehicles to the shootings.
With the laser beam "attacks" on airliners I fear we are headed down the same irrational path. First, there is the fact such an attack would be incredibly difficult to pull off. Your target would be thousands of feet in the air, traveling at hundreds of miles an hour, in the dark, and you are aiming for a spot perhaps a couple feet square. Use the Force, Luke, and good luck. And yet this has happened a half dozen times in the past few days?
How about a much more likely cause of pilot encounters with strange lights on the ground in recent weeks, one that even has a sure case history behind it. The FAA blamed a Christmas flood light on a house in Hawaii for distracting pilots trying to land at a nearby airport. The feds contacted the homeowner and had the light put out.
Did the FBI bother to talk to anyone at the FAA about the laser beam theory? Does the FBI even know it is the Christmas season?
thoreau | December 31, 2004, 6:58pm | #
D Anghelone-
True, a small laser can make you blind.
But if you want to blind a pilot, unless you have really really really good tracking equipment, you'll need to flood the cockpit window with light, in order to be sure that you hit his eyes. Which means you'll need a much larger beam.
If you spread out the beam from that little laser to the size of a cockpit window it would be harmless because the light would be spread out and hence be less intense. In order to deliver a large beam that's intense enough to blind you'd need thousands of times as much power as that laser can deliver.
And even with the very powerful beam you'd need good tracking equipment for anything more than momentary exposure (a fraction of a second). And unless the power is strong enough, momentary exposure won't suffice to blind.
Besides, it would make more sense to use infrared (IR) lasers rather than visible light. A Q-switched YAG would work well for that purpose, and such lasers are just as easy to obtain as visible lasers. IR lasers cause damage that the pilot won't notice right away, so the pilot won't blink or avert his eyes until it's too late. And IR lasers won't create any stray or scattered visible light that might give away the terrorists' location to investigators.
Moreover, tracking and aiming would be much easier (and less expensive) if the attacker is located on a hill or tall building that faces the path of planes landing or taking off. My own anecdotal observation is that airports are situated and flight paths are chosen to minimize the number of tall buildings and hills in the flight path. Which is not to say that there are no possible attack sites, but it is one more resource constraint facing terrorists.
Finally, the equipment and training needed to do this are expensive. If a terrorist group has the people and money in place to do this, those same resources could cause much more death and panic if deployed for more low-tech attacks.
Mark | January 1, 2005, 12:12am | #
This is fun speculation. Let me try to keep it alive a little longer.
I’m not sure I believe that the tracking problem is all that hard to solve. (Which may mean I don’t understand the problem.) For one thing, there may be a human solution. Before the availability of super-fast films, photographers would photograph fast moving object by turning to match their motion. There are old pictures of trains tearing across the landscape where the train is clear and the landscape is blurred. The photographer just turned to match the train. It was, to be sure, a matter of great and rare skill, but it could be done. Likewise, hunters can shoot birds out of the sky. I wouldn’t be surprised if someone who grew up hunting fast-moving livestock predators could learn to aim a laser at an aircraft and hold it steady.
The high-tech route to aiming might not be all that difficult either. Military tracking systems are expensive because they have to aim at military aircraft doing military things. Unlike an attacking military aircraft, a landing commercial aircraft has no stealth features, is painted to be easy to see, doesn’t jink around to thwart prediction, has no countermeasures, emits plenty of heat, is shining bright lights at the ground, and flies a very predictable path with a known end-point.
You might be able to exploit the fact that the engines and the cockpit form a triangle that doesn’t change much during landing. Same with the landing lights. Or you might target and track the highlight of the laser reflected off the nose, with a higher-powered coaxial laser aimed at an offset to do the damage. Accurate motion control equipment isn’t all that expensive.
There might also be ready-made solutions to the problem. Anybody know what sort of features a military laser target designator has? Perhaps one taken off some equipment the Russians lost in Afghanistan? Those things can blind people.
I find the argument that they should have used an infrared laser much more convincing. The only thing I can come up with is that you know the cockpit glass will pass visible light.
Also, the hits on the cockpit could be luck. We don’t know how many hundreds of planes have been hit by lasers to produce the half-dozen or so reports we have.
Peenie Wallie | January 1, 2005, 8:56pm | #
http://www.peeniewallie.com/archives_2005_01.htm#lasers
Airplanes, Lasers, and Terrorists....Oh My!
I?m not convinced that potential terrorists are painting planes with lasers, primarily, because I don't see any particular value in doing so. If a 'terrorist' wanted to 'terrorize', planes seem somewhat passe. Historically, terrorists have shown a propensity to diversify in their objectives and attack softer targets.
Because people are not searched when they board trains, buses, subways, and elevators, these other targets are much softer. In the Middle East, terrorists routinely detonate bombs on buses, in malls, or in outdoor cafes. In Russia, they recently successfully detonated a bomb at the screening point outside a rock concert. So, all of these, in theory, would work to achieve the terrorists goals, if their goals are to 'terrorize' and gain recognition for a particular cause.
If, on the other hand, they really feel compelled to bring down an airplane, in no way, would that goal involve lasers. It's not like there are shoulder fired missiles and rocket propelled grenades available for sale in the United States. That's not reality based thinking. If someone offers to sell you a shoulder fired weapon, I can guarantee you that it is a federal agent running a reverse sting.
Besides, the height and speed of the jets during approach and takeoff is well documented, and readily apparent. So, for the terrorists to go around all over the country, pointing laser lights at planes, to calibrate their speed or altitude would not make logical sense. Plus, it would obviously serve to compromise their plan.
Finally, keep in mind that every Muslim in the country has been interviewed, interrogated, exported, or deemed an 'illegal combatant' and incarcerated deep in the bowels of Camp X-Ray down at Gitmo. I know because I have Muslim friends. They're all too scared to answer the phone when it rings. So, to believe that there?s suddenly this broad conspiracy all over the country where terrorists are acting in a coordinated manner and shooting laser beams at planes that somehow the CIA, FBI, TSA, State, County, and City authorities all are blissfully unaware of, seems very remote indeed.
My theory is that it is either:
(a) reflected sunlight (remember, the sun is blinding if you look directly at it, or if it is deflected into your eyes), coupled with mass hysteria or
(b) possibly a government ruse along the lines of Operation Northwoods or MK Ultra.
Nothing else makes any sense. Unfortunately, we?ve allowed the TSA to operate behind a wall of secrecy, so, in all likelihood, we'll never know the true cause of these 'incidents'. Certainly, the investigation(s) into this phenomenon by the alphabet soup agencies (FAA, NTSB, TSA) will not be open to public scrutiny.